That’s not a rhetorical question. And frankly the anwer is.. Well, we too leave it till the end.
In a recent survey by IDC, reports are out that Android would no longer grow at the same mind-boggling pace, anymore.
However, with a market-share of 61%, it would still remain the most popular OS in the world. Hence, what it essentially means it won’t grow at the same pace it used to. It would near its saturation point by 2012 and would struggle to go beyond that market-stake. However, Android would still remain the single-most dominant OS for at least another 5 years (If the Apocalypse spares us, that is).
Interestingly, Microsoft’s Windows OS is tipped to overtake iOS by 2016 with a projected market share of 19.2% against Apple’s projected share of a mere 19.0% (which would have been much different had Mr Jobs been biting the fruit).
However, talking of Android, the IDC stats accredit the large growth of the most-smart OS largely to Samsung devices. Also, if experts are to be believed “Android stratification” would be increasing over the next 5 years as more and more gadgets would be releasing with newer version of Android OS.
“The smartphone parade won’t be as lively this year as it has been so far. There will be a transition from mobile phones to smart-phones in a gradual but unabated fashion. That being said, however, smartphone growth will increasingly be driven by the triology of smartphone operating systems, namely Android, iOS and Windows Phone 7.”- Restivo
Let’s do some basic number crunching and make this analytics a little more tangible to interpret. Android already has a 61% market-stake, with iOS grabbing a mere 20.5%. The difference is marginal, right? Pun intended. As per IDC reports, 1.7 billion handsets were shipped by the end of this year of which nearly 1 billion were Android smartphones. And despite the decline in projections, the number of handsets running Android is going to increase consistently. The projections only depict that the rate at which it has abounded would be decelerated.
But I guess that’s okay. We do not want an autocracy in the smartphone market as competition pushes innovation. However, saying that Android is on a decline this year would be naive. Apparently, it has just reached the point beyond which it cannot grow and that height is already too momentous to be undermined.
Things are not slowing down, they are just settling down. Enough said.