Last week, we heard Gartner’s prediction regarding the Android Operating System, and how it will be the dominate platform for smart phones by the end of this year. This week Gartner has released predictions regarding tablets, and the findings are quite interesting.
It wasn’t in till Honeycomb was developed that the tablet craze started. For many manufactures that did not own their own operating system it was a great solution to began development on their own tablets. So far this year we have already seen the release of the Motorola Xoom, along with several tablets that will be available later this year. These include the Dell Streak, HTC Flyer, and the T-Mobile G-Slate.
According to Gartner, 70 million tablets will be sold by the end of this year and 108 million by the end of next year. Both of these predictions are quite a bit higher than what we saw sold last year, which was 17.6 million.
Research In Motion’s QNX platform (which we will see in their upcoming PlayBook), is said to take the Number 3 position on the market this year, with a 5.6% share. Gartner sees that share rising to 10 percent by 2015.
According to Gartner analyst Carolina Milanesi, “It will take time and significant effort for RIM to attract developers and deliver a compelling ecosystem of applications and services around QNX to position it as a viable alternative to Apple or Android.” She also said in a statement, “It will be mainly organizations that will be interested in RIM’s tablets because they either already have RIM’s infrastructure deployed or have stringent security requirements.”
Samsung is said to take the number 2 spot in the tablet market. While Apple is estamated to have sold around 1 million iPad 2s during the first week of launch last month. Apple’s closest rival, Samsung Electronics, is predicated to have sold a similar number of Galaxy Tabs in the past three months. Sales growth is expected to remain weak, due to the aggressive pricing plans of iPad2, which is pressuring profit growth at Samsung. Samsung, who is at this moment the most aggressive contender to Apple with three different sizes of tablets, is still playing catch-up. However, analysts expect Samsung, which uses Google’s Android operating system in its tablets, to increase marketing expenses to help boost sales. Samsung is widely known as one of the fastest followers in the electronics industry and to better compete with Apple, Samsung redesigned its new 10.1-inch tablet to make it the thinnest in the category after Apple had already set the trend with the slimmer iPad 2.
“Their biggest challenge is user interface, how they are going to make their devices any different from those of Motorola or HTC,” said Milanesi.
Apple’s share of the market is said to gradually decline to 47% by 2015, which is a down from their 69 percent this year. Google’s share is expected to rise from 20% to 39% by 2015.
It seems a far assumption that Google may become number 1 in tablet shares after 2015, however, only time will tell if it holds true or not.